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The study analyses the interaction between the trading behaviour of 1,024 moving average and momentum models and the fluctuations of the yen/dollar exchange rate. The paper shows first that these models would have exploited exchange rate trends quite profitably between 1976 and 1999, and then...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011435219
The paper investigates the profitability of 1,024 moving average and momentum models and their components in the yen-dollar market. It turns out that all models would have been profitable between 1976 and 2007. The models produce more single losses than single profits. At the same time, the size...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011435249
The study analyses the interaction between the trading behaviour of 1,024 moving average and momentum models and the fluctuations of the yen-dollar exchange rate. I show first that these models would have exploited exchange rate trends quite profitably between 1976 and 2007. I then show that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011435250
This paper investigates how technical trading systems exploit the momentum and reversal effects in the S&P 500 spot and futures market. When based on daily data, the profitability of 2,580 technical models has steadily declined since 1960, and has been unprofitable since the early 1990s....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011435253
Over the past three decades, trading in asset markets has become progressively more short-term oriented ("faster"), with traders attempting to exploit intraday price trends. Yet, over this time, asset prices have continued to move in a sequence of alternating "bull markets" and "bear markets",...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011435298
We combine self-collected historical data from 1867 to 1907 with CRSP data from 1926 to 2012, to examine the risk and return over the past 140 years of one of the most popular mechanical trading strategies - momentum. We find that momentum has earned abnormally high risk-adjusted returns - a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011460679
This paper provides unique insights into the impact of the COVID-19 crisis on the European private equity (PE) and venture capital (VC) ecosystem. It achieves this purpose in two ways. By exploiting the recent survey wave of EIF's signature BA/VC/PE MM survey series, which was launched just...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012260661
We show that a common (identical across investors) irrationality in information processing can be enough to create nontrivial trade, using one of standard partial-equilibrium environments. We can attribute this trade to their common irrationality because we strip the investors and their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012270858
Due to their relatively high yields and low return correlations with traditional asset classes, insurance-linked securities (ILS) are often described as an attractive investment opportunity. Yet, the investor base for ILS is largely dominated by a few specialized investment managers. The aim of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012318594