Grossi, Luigi - In: Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics 8 (2007) 2, pp. 1224-1224
In this paper we suggest an extension of the forward search methodology to GARCH models which are often used for forecasting stock market volatility. It is frequently found that estimated residuals from GARCH models have excess kurtosis, even when one allows for conditional t-distributed errors....