Based on the export VAT rebate rate data from 2004 to 2015, this paper measures the uncertainty of Chinese export VAT … rebate policy by using unexpected fluctuation of export VAT rebate rate, and finds that the index varies across products …, years and industries. Then, the paper studies the influence of the uncertainty of export VAT rebate policy on China's export …

Granger-causality tests. Export and import taxes have sometimes been found to negatively affect growth. Drawing policy … also because of potential second best world effects and the implied endogeneity of trade policy. Policy recommendations for …