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This online appendix accompanies the paper “The Conversion of Money Lines into Win Probabilities: Reconciliations and Simplifications” by the same authors.Full paper available at: 'https://ssrn.com/abstract=2658335' https://ssrn.com/abstract=2658335
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We contribute to the literature on money line betting markets by investigating the relationships between the various methods used to derive subjective win probabilities from money lines. We show that, although the seven methods described appear to be unique, they actually share many common...
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This paper investigates the impact of additional sources of information on the accuracy of pricing in wagering markets. Specifically, this paper tests whether accuracy in the wagering markets for NCAA Division I basketball improves when there are more betting lines available for a given game....
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This paper extends and corrects previous methodology used to investigate the potential for point shaving in NCAA men's college basketball. We incorporate information from additional betting markets, including second-half betting markets, which allows us to dramatically reduce the unexpected...
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Our paper focuses on mutual fund characteristics associated with periods of extreme performance. We find funds with either positive (hot-hand) or negative (icy-hand) persistence tend to have portfolio similarities consistent with riskier positions: compared to no-streak funds they hold less...
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This paper demonstrates that both consumer utility and event organizer profits increase when tournaments played at neutral sites sell tickets via options, which are exercisable only if the desired team reaches a given round of the tournament, and advanced selling; rather than just utilizing an...
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Using data from the 2007, 2008, and 2009 NASCAR seasons, this paper shows that the uncertainty of outcome hypothesis pertains to both race attendance and television audience, with the former only responding to race-level uncertainty and the latter responding to both race-level and season-level...
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