In this paper, we examine exchange rates in Vietnam’s transitional economy. Evidence of long-run equilibrium are established in most cases through a single co-integrating vector among endogenous variables that determine the real exchange rates. This supports relative PPP in which ECT of the...

In this paper we propose a sequential testing procedure to determine the order of differencing in seasonally observed time series processes, which builds existing approaches developed for nonseasonal series. We allow for the possible presence of multiple unit roots at both zero and seasonal...

This paper presents a complete framework for testing procedure based on statistical theory of Markov chains.

We Highlight a fast subsampling method that can be used to provide valid inference in nonlinear dynamic econometric models.

A unit root test is usually carried out by using the regression test introduced by Dickey and Fuller (1979). Under the null hypothesis the series should be a random walk and a stationary component. This is what is done in additive decompositions between trend and cycle. The paper analyses the...

Much research has investigated the differences between option implied volatilities and econometric model-based forecasts in terms of forecast accuracy and relative informational content. Implied volatility is a market determined forecast, in contrast to model-based forecasts that employ some...

Forecasting volatility has received a great deal of research attention. Many articles have considered the relative performance of econometric model based and option implied volatility forecasts. While many studies have found that implied volatility is the preferred approach, a number of issues...

The behavioural framework has several attractions to offer for the identification of multivariable systems. Some of the variables may be left unexplained without the need for a distinction between inputs and outputs; criteria for model quality are independent of the chosen parameterization; and...