beliefs on the average propensity to trade of the other group. Since conict disrupts trade, the onset of a conflict signals … each conflict episode. Third, "accidental" conflicts that do not reect economic fundamentals can lead to a permanent … breakdown of trust, plunging a society into a vicious cycle of recurrent conflicts (a war trap). The incidence of conflict can …

Are natural resources a source of conflict or stability? Empirical studies demonstrate that rents from natural … source of conflict and the rentier state view which emphasizes the role of resource rents in promoting peace and stability … struggle. We demonstrate that the associated increased cost of conflict may in fact promote regime stability. The peaceful …

We study the effect of civil conflict on social capital, focusing on the experience of Uganda during the last decade …

We construct a dynamic theory of civil conflict hinging on inter-ethnic trust and trade. The model economy is … beliefs on the average propensity to trade of the other group. Since conflict disrupts trade, the onset of a conflict signals … after each conflict episode. Third, "accidental" conflicts that do not reflect economic fundamentals can lead to a permanent …

We construct a dynamic theory of civil conflict hinging on inter-ethnic trust and trade. The model economy is … beliefs on the average propensity to trade of the other group. Since conflict disrupts trade, the onset of a conflict signals … after each conflict episode. Third, "accidental" conflicts that do not reflect economic fundamentals can lead to a permanent …

conflict. A new type of bargaining failure due to multiple types of potential con.icts (and hence multiple threat points) is … identified. The theory predicts conflict to be more likely when the geographical distribution of natural resources is uneven and …

In this paper, we first briefly review the recent literature on climate change, resource scarcity and conflict. This is … then followed by introducing an agent based computational model based on the theory of production and conflict which is …, differentiates between conflict subjects, takes into account bounded rationality, non-linearity and feedback loops, and is enriched …

the incidence of conflict to circumstances, institutions and features of the underlying economy and polity. We use this … model to derive testable predictions and to interpret the cross-sectional and times-series variations in civil conflict. Our …