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Labor market programs may affect unemployed individuals’ behavior before they enroll. Such ex ante effects may differ according to ethnic origin. We apply a novel method that relates self-reported perceived treatment rates and job search behav­ioral outcomes, such as the reservation wage or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008838966
Labor market programs may affect unemployed individuals' behavior before they enroll. Such ex ante effects may differ according to ethnic origin. We apply a novel method that relates self-reported perceived treatment rates and job search behavioral outcomes, such as the reservation wage or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008839263
In this paper we present a mechanism to elicit and aggregate dispersed information. Our mechanism relies on the aggregation of intervals elicited using an interval scoring rule. We test our mechanism by eliciting beliefs about the termination times of a stochastic process in an experimental...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010890981
theories have assumed that the U-shape is caused by unmet expectations that are felt painfully in midlife but beneficially … abandoned and experienced with less regret during old age. In a unique panel of 132,609 life satisfaction expectations matched … support theories that unmet expectations drive the age U-shape in wellbeing. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010896287
volatility over the benchmark rational expectations case and exactly matches the standard deviation of consumption. Finally, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010896682
form expectations using adaptive learning rather than rational expectations (RE). The output multipliers for government …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010904150
When fairly homogeneous taxpayers are affected by common income shocks, a tax agency’s optimal auditing strategy consists of auditing a low-income declarer with a probability that (weakly) increases with the other taxpayers’ declarations. Such policy generates a coordination game among...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010928739
expectations, using a survey conducted in Spain by PwC, among a panel of experts and entrepreneurs. When analysing the headline … inflation used. As for the consistency properties of the inflation expectations formation process, we find that panel members … form stabilising expectations in the case of the headline inflation rate, both in the short and in the long-run, although …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010929567
coaches implement significantly more offensive substitutions if their teams are behind expectations. Both types of behaviors …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010944714
The paper proves that the Bayesian approach to learning and expectations formation implies no propositions that could …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010956859