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period of 1994q3–2005q2. The results suggest that the real exchange rate volatility and misalignment have depressing effects … volatility proving that the policy-induced changes in exchange rate has a stabilizing effect on trade flows. The implied … elasticity for the most significant real exchange rate volatility coefficient is –0.20. Using a two-step Engle-Granger technique …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013132215
developed in order to replicate the volatility of the real exchange rate and its disconnect with macroeconomic variables. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012723975
We show that the quarterly bilateral real exchange rate for 1275 country pairs over 1980–2015 is positively correlated with the relative price of non-traded to traded goods, but that movements in the relative price measure are smaller than those in the real exchange rate. Variance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012945763
How does international financial integration affect national price levels? To analyze this question, this paper formulates a two-country open economy sticky-price model under either segmented or complete asset markets. It is shown that the effect of financial integration, i.e. moving from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991245
A recent literature has pointed at potential negative effects of exchange rate volatility on innovation. In this paper … years 1987 - 2003. We find that the direct negative effect of volatility is pronounced in manufacturing sector but is … dominated by the indirect effect via the export channel. Services do not face any effects of volatility on R&D intensities …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003864485
A recent literature has pointed at potential negative effects of exchange rate volatility on innovation. In this paper … years 1987 - 2003. We find that the direct negative effect of volatility is pronounced in manufacturing sector but is … dominated by the indirect effect via the export channel. Services do not face any effects of volatility on R&D intensities …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003887126
Meese and Rogoff (1983) and subsequent studies find that economic fundamentals are apparently not able to explain exchange rate movements, but we argue that this so-called "Exchange Rate Disconnect Puzzle" arose because researchers such as Meese and Rogoff (1983) did not use the right...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011502367
We revisit medium- to long-run exchange rate determination, focusing on the role of international investment positions. To do so, we make use of a new econometric framework accounting for conditional long-run homogeneity in heterogeneous dynamic panel data models. In particular, in our model the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010414236
volatility (MSV) and the multivariate conditional correlation GARCH (CC-MGARCH) framework to investigate the volatility … major findings. First, the volatility in each market is very persistent. It varies over time in a predictable manner …, conditioned on the past information. Second, the volatility in the oil market Granger-causes the volatility in the FX markets but …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131145
The first part of this paper briefly summarizes the assumptions of economic theory on the relationships between exchange rates, prices and interest rates and the same time compares these assumptions with the empirical evidence. The fact that there exist strong discrepancies, which in recent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135774