Caggiano, Giovanni; Calice, Pietro; Leonida, Leone - In: Journal of Banking & Finance 47 (2014) C, pp. 258-269
This paper estimates an early warning system (EWS) for predicting systemic banking crises in a sample of low income countries in Sub-Saharan Africa. Since the average duration of crises in this sample of countries is longer than one year, the predictive performance of standard binomial logit...