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Volatility permeates modern financial theories and decision making processes. As such, accurate measures and good … forecasts of future volatility are critical for the implementation and evaluation of asset pricing theories. In response to this …, a voluminous literature has emerged for modeling the temporal dependencies in financial market volatility at the daily …
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In this paper we propose a stochastic volatility model for crude oil markets that has the particularity to feature a … OVX volatility data. The model characterizes two states: a normal state with low volatility and negative variance premium … and acrisis state with high volatility and positive variance risk premium. The estimated states are consistent with GDP …
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