There is increasing interest in long-term plans that can adapt to changing situations under conditions of deep uncertainty. We argue that a sustainable plan should not only achieve economic, environmental, and social objectives, but should be robust and able to be adapted over time to...

The Caribbean region suffers major economic losses from natural hazards such as flooding due to storms, cyclones, extreme waves, winds and precipitation, coastal erosion, volcanic eruptions and landslides. Consequently, as typical at most small coastal states, when a disaster strikes, a large...

The Caribbean region suffers major economic losses from natural hazards such as flooding due to storms, cyclones, extreme waves, winds and precipitation, coastal erosion, volcanic eruptions and landslides. Consequently, as typical at most small coastal states, when a disaster strikes, a large...

Climate change may cause socio-economic tipping points (SETPs), where the state of a socio-economic system abruptly changes to a fundamentally different state. While the potential existence of SETPs is recognized, a systematic method to identify and prepare for SETPs is lacking. This study...

Exploring adaptation pathways into an uncertain future can support decisionmaking in achieving sustainable water management in a changing environment. Our objective is to develop and test a method to identify such pathways by including dynamics from natural variability and the interaction...