Showing 51 - 60 of 15,673
In this paper we use smooth transition vector error-correction models (STVECMs) in a simulated out-of-sample forecasting experiment for the unemployment rates of the four non-Euro G-7 countries, the U.S., U.K., Canada, and Japan. For the U.S., pooled forecasts constructed by taking the median...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005407917
Many topics of interest to economists involve the passage of time. How long does a typical spell of unemployment last? Has the time between births increased in recent years as women's relative earnings increased? Answers to these questions are desired both for the purpose of sorting out various...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005407918
This paper constructs the probability space underlying the random variable of any time dependent econometric specification. The construction links concrete economic activity, both perceived and recorded, and econometric formulations. Furthermore, it is argued that the probability events...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005407919
Inferences about the presence or absence of threshold type nonlinearities in TAR models are conducted within models whose lag length has been estimated in a preliminary stage. Typically the null hypothesis of linearity is then tested against a threshold alternative on which the estimated lag...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005407922
This paper focuses the development of the diagnostics for the perturbations of case-weights and explanatory variables (one or more) in a linear logistic regression model. The effect of specific perturbation scheme on the estimation of parameters is also assessed. In addition, the interpretation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005407923
The influence of peer behavior on an individual's choices has received renewed interest in recent years. However, accurate measures of this influence are difficult to obtain. Standard reduced-form methods lead to upwardly biased estimates due to simultaneity, common shocks, and nonrandom peer...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005407925
This paper analyses the effect of labour taxes on Euro area unemployment. Empirical estimates obtained so far can be criticised as being spurious because the regressions generally lack non-measurable variables constituting the reservation wage that can possibly be non stationary. Here we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005407927
This study examines the impact of telecommuting on passenger vehicle- miles traveled (VMT) through a multivariate time series analysis of aggregate nationwide data spanning 1966-1999 for all variables except telecommuting, and 1988-1998 for telecommuting. The analysis was conducted in two...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005407928
Censoring of outcomes (selection) is a common consequence of survey nonresponse and attrition in panels, and has received much attention. Joint censoring of regressors and outcomes is also common, but it has remained unexplored. This paper shows that the problem of identification when regressors...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005407929
The bootstrap is a method for estimating the distribution of an estimator or test statistic by resampling one's data. It amounts to treating the data as if they were the population for the purpose of evaluating the distribution of interest. Under mild regularity conditions, the bootstrap yields...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005407930