. Previous literature has highlighted the role of an economy's "structure" - such as its inflation volatility, inflation rate …, forecasts predicting how a given exchange rate movement will impact inflation at a specific point in time should take into …

estimates for inflation forecasting both in the short term (one-quarter and one-year ahead) and the medium term (two-year and …

The ability of the New Keynesian Phillips curve to explain US inflation dynamics when official central bank forecasts … (Greenbook forecasts) are used as a proxy for inflation expectations is examined. The New Keynesian Phillips curve is estimated … using actual data on future inflation as conventionally employed in empirical work under the assumption of rational …

This paper evaluates the usefulness of various measures of core inflation for the conduct of monetary policy …. Traditional exclusion-based measures of core inflation are found to perform relatively poorly across a range of evaluation … move with macroeconomic drivers. All measures of core inflation, however, have limitations - consequently, there is merit …

This paper provides a review of the concept of core inflation and evaluates the performance of several proposed … measures. We first consider the rationale of a central bank in setting its inflation goal in terms of a selected rate of … consumer price growth and the use of a core inflation measure as a means of achieving this long-term policy objective. We then …

​We apply several tests to the underlying inflation metrics used in practice by central banks and/or proposed in the … measure of underlying inflation, indicators calculated on the basis of dynamic factor models are generally among the best …

well as the improvements made to this measure of inflation since 2003 – finds that the HICP continues to fulfil the … replacement and quality adjustment. Such measures may also help reduce the measurement bias that still exists in the HICP. Overall …, a knowledge gap concerning the exact size of the measurement bias of the HICP remains, which calls for further research …

This paper attempts to designate the most efficient core inflation measure for Vietnam. Five measures of core inflation … price, the trimmed-mean, the weighted median, the exponentially smoothed and the output-neutral inflation. They are … subsequently evaluated empirically for tracking the trend, predictive power and cointegration with the headline inflation. The key …

In this paper, the authors propose a measure of underlying inflation for Canada obtained from estimating a monthly … distort the signal in many other measures of underlying inflation, and appears to capture price movements that are indicative … measures of underlying inflation monitored by the Bank of Canada. …