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this approach takes into account that the transmission of a shock might depend on the sign and the size of the shock. Large …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010340611
We examine the dynamics of GDP following an economy-wide pandemic shock that curtails physical mobility and the ability … document that: (i) employment responses after the onset of the shock are milder in digitally-intensive sectors; (ii … intensity. In our baseline scenario, aggregate output returns to pre-crisis levels eight quarters after the initial shock onset …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014094992
This article examines fiscal policy shocks in the UK through using a Bayesian Vector Auto-regression (BVAR) model which applies Mountford and Uhlig (2009) type sign restriction. It investigates the impact of three fiscal policy experiments on macroeconomic variable. Specifically, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013132483
we analyse the impact of fiscal policy shocks in the euro area as a whole, using a newly available quarterly dataset of fiscal variables for the period 1981-2007. to allow for comparability with previous results on euro area countries and the us, we use a standard structural var framework, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013152939
We analyse the impact of fiscal policy shocks in the euro area as a whole, using a newly available quarterly dataset of fiscal variables for the period 1981-2007. To allow for comparability with previous results on euro area countries and the US, we use a standard structural VAR framework, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013153261
Studies of tax effects make the conventional information assumption that changes in period-t taxes become known at t. Legislative lags, however, imply that news arrives before tax changes take place. Under policy foreknowledge, the conventional information structure is therefore misspecified....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013157776
I study the spill-over effects of legislated discretionary tax changes in the United States, Germany, and the United Kingdom to 11 Eurozone countries for the period 1980Q1-2018Q4 employing Local Projections (Jordà, 2005). In general, I find spillovers from US tax legislation to have the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012649097
model for each U.S. state, utilizing the exogenous tax shock series recently proposed by Romer and Romer (2010) and find …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009534065
This paper studies the real effects of an exogenous UK tax change in recessions and expansions. The tax shock is … regressions (Granger and Teräsvirta, 1994), tax policy shock is found to affect UK macroeconomic variables depending on the phase … of the business cycle the economy is when tax shock occurs. An exogenous tax cut in recessions triggers a large …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842094
This paper investigates the response of major macroeconomic variables to four different types of tax policy innovations in Canada within a VAR framework. The positive tax multipliers documented in the previous literature are found only for corporate tax innovations. Our results imply that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014074677