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We assess the role of financial linkages in the transmission of sovereign risk in the Euro Crisis. Building on the narrative approach by Romer and Romer (1989), we use financial news to identify structural shocks in a vector autoregressive model of daily sovereign CDS premia for eleven European...
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the Eurozone crisis in 2009, irrespective of economic and institutional fundamentals. A subsequent analysis of the markup …
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The recent financial and sovereign debt crises around the world have sparked a growing literature on models and empirical estimates of defaultable debt. Frequently households and firms come under default threat, local governments can default, and recently sovereign default threats were eminent...
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of the model to characterize contagion among the ten series. Our procedure allows the country that triggers contagion in … sovereign debt crisis, contagion has played a non-negligible role in the European peripheral countries, which confirms the …
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default. Specifically, we develop an empirical model, based on the recent theoretical literature on contagion in financial …
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