En este documento se analizan los determinantes de la frecuencia de intervenciÛn del Banco Central de Reserva en el mercado cambiario Peruano (compras y ventas). Se usan datos en frecuencia semanal para el periodo Enero 2001 hasta Diciembre 2010 usando la metodologia de modelos de conteo. Los...

This paper analyzes and employs two versions of the Functional Central Limit Theorem within the framework of a unit root with a structural break. Initial attention is focused on the probabilistic structure of the time series to be considered. Later, attention is placed on the asymptotic theory...

El presente documento analiza el impacto de las expectativas políticas sobre los retornos del índice general de la Bolsa de Valores de Lima (IGBVL) utilizando información para los periodos electorales de 1995 y 2000. La variable explicativa principal es una medida de la probabilidad de que un...

The authors analyze the degree of persistence of the unemployment rates of the ten Canadian provinces using quarterly data for the period 1976:1-2005:4. They apply a two-break minimum Lagrange Multiplier (LM) unit root statistic, which, unlike standard unit root statistics (without or with...

A dynamic factorial decomposition model of inflation is estimated using Peruvian monthly data for January 1995--July 2008. This model allows the identification of changes in three relevant inflation components: idiosyncratic relative prices, aggregate relative prices and absolute prices....

Purpose – The paper aims to study the effect of the unemployment rate and its volatility on crime in the USA. It proposes that not only the unemployment rate, but also its volatility affect the crime. Design/methodology/approach – First, the volatility of the unemployment rate is calculated...

A dynamic factorial decomposition model of inflation is estimated using Peruvian monthly data for 1995:01-2008:07. This model allows identification of changes in three relevant ináation components: idiosyncratic relative prices, aggregate relative prices, and absolute prices. Furthermore,...

I use three non-linear econometric models to identify and analyze business cycles in the Peruvian economy for the period 1980:1-2008:4. The models are the Smooth Transition Autoregressive (STAR) model suggested by Teräsvirta (1994), the extended version of the Markov-Switching model proposed by...

Este documento distingue y explica el rol y la importancia de los choques de demanda y oferta agregada en el comportamiento de la inflación peruana durante el periodo 1997:1-2009:2. Para esto se utiliza la metodología de Vectores Autoregresivos Estructurales (SVAR, por sus siglas en inglés)...