Showing 251 - 260 of 283
El presente documento analiza el impacto de las expectativas políticas sobre los retornos del índice general de la Bolsa de Valores de Lima (IGBVL) utilizando información para los periodos electorales de 1995 y 2000. La variable explicativa principal es una medida de la probabilidad de que un...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009246583
A dynamic factorial decomposition model of inflation is estimated using Peruvian monthly data for January 1995--July 2008. This model allows the identification of changes in three relevant inflation components: idiosyncratic relative prices, aggregate relative prices and absolute prices....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010548651
Purpose – The paper aims to study the effect of the unemployment rate and its volatility on crime in the USA. It proposes that not only the unemployment rate, but also its volatility affect the crime. Design/methodology/approach – First, the volatility of the unemployment rate is calculated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010551541
Este documento distingue y explica el rol y la importancia de los choques de demanda y oferta agregada en el comportamiento de la inflación peruana durante el periodo 1997:1-2009:2. Para esto se utiliza la metodología de Vectores Autoregresivos Estructurales (SVAR, por sus siglas en inglés)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009274587
A dynamic factorial decomposition model of inflation is estimated using Peruvian monthly data for 1995:01-2008:07. This model allows identification of changes in three relevant ináation components: idiosyncratic relative prices, aggregate relative prices, and absolute prices. Furthermore,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010556843
We extend the class of M-tests for a unit root analyzed by Perron and Ng (1996) and Ng and Perron (1997) to the case where a change in the trend function is allowed to occur at an unknown time. These tests M(GLS) adopt the GLS detrending approach of Dufour and King (1991) and Elliott, Rothenberg...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010558664
The authors analyze the degree of persistence of the unemployment rates of the ten Canadian provinces using quarterly data for the period 1976:1-2005:4. They apply a two-break minimum Lagrange Multiplier (LM) unit root statistic, which, unlike standard unit root statistics (without or with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009372005
I use three non-linear econometric models to identify and analyze business cycles in the Peruvian economy for the period 1980:1-2008:4. The models are the Smooth Transition Autoregressive (STAR) model suggested by Teräsvirta (1994), the extended version of the Markov-Switching model proposed by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008596683
I use three non-linear econometric models to identify and analyze business cycles in the Peruvian economy for the period 1980:1-2008:4. The models are the Smooth Transition Autoregressive (STAR) model suggested by Teräsvirta (1994), the extended version of the MarkovSwitching model proposed by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008764001
Following the approach of MÈsonnier and Renne (2007), we estimate a Natural Rate of Interest (NRI) using quarterly Peruvian data for the period 1996:3-2008:3. The model has six equations and it is estimated using the Kalman Ölter with output gap and NRI as unobservable variables. Estimation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009146908