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The properties of information, including "information uncertainty", can be understood only Bayesianly. Common … formulations that define information uncertainty in terms of just statistical "precision" (i.e. sampling variance), or any one … affecting f(x|φ,⋅), information uncertainty alters posterior beliefs f(φ|x,⋅), and therefore also asset prices and expected …
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This paper analyzes dynamic choice for ambiguity-sensitive decision makers. It demonstrates that unambiguous behavioral predictions can be obtained, even in the face of dynamic inconsistency, by taking the individual's preferences over decision trees, rather than acts, as primitive. In...
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