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Can the Lasota (1977)'s model compete with the Mackey-Glass (1977)'s model in nonlinear modelling of financial time series?

Hennani, Rachida - 2015

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011300800

Testing for nonlinear structure and chaos in economic time series : a comment

Hommes, Cars H.; Manzan, Sebastiano - 2005 - August 2005, Journal of Macroeconomics, forthcoming

This short paper is a comment on ``Testing for Nonlinear Structure and Chaos in Economic Time Series'' by Catherine … outliers and noisy chaos. In particular, we include some new simulations to investigate whether economic time series may be … characterized by low dimensional noisy chaos. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011349217

Uncovering nonlinear dynamics in air transport demand

Inglada-Pérez, Lucìa - In: International journal of transport economics : IJTE 43 (2016) 1/2, pp. 33-65

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011559425

Testing for nonlinearity and chaos in economic time series with noise titration

Caraiani, Petre - In: Economics letters 120 (2013) 2, pp. 192-194

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010127780

Nonlinear and complex dynamics in economics

Barnett, William A.; Serletis, Apostolos; Serletis, Demitre - In: Macroeconomic dynamics 19 (2015) 8, pp. 1749-1779

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011516304

Chaos and Fractal Impact on Economics

Díaz, Andrés Fernández - Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, … - 2015

Complexity is one of the most important characteristic properties of the economic behaviour. The new field of knowledge … endogenous way such complexity. In this paper, and after scanning the principal concepts and techniques about the mathematics of … chaos and the fractal geometry, we analyze the possibilities of application of these valuable tools to the different areas …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011273021

Do Commodity Futures Help Forecast Spot Prices?

Reichsfeld, David A; Roache, Shaun K. - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2011

We assess the spot price forecasting performance of 10 commodity futures at various horizons up to two years and test whether this performance is affected by market conditions. We reject efficient markets based on in-sample tests but, out-of-sample, we find that the forecast from the futures...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009369445

Modeling Aggregate Use of Fund Resources; Analytical Approaches and Medium-Term Projections

Ghosh, Atish R.; Zalduendo, Juan; Goretti, Manuela; … - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2007

This paper presents two approaches to modeling the use of IMF resources in order to gauge whether the recent decline in credit outstanding is a temporary or a permanent phenomenon. The two approaches-the time series behavior of credit outstanding and a two-stage program selection and access...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825617

Nonlinear Exchange Rate Models; A Selective Overview

Sarno, Lucio - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2003

This paper provides a selective overview of nonlinear exchange rate models recently proposed in the literature and assesses their contribution to understanding exchange rate behavior. Two key questions are examined. The first question is whether nonlinear autoregressive models of real exchange...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825647

Asymmetric Adjustment and Nonlinear Dynamics in Real Exchange Rates

Leon, H. L.; Najarian, Serineh - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2003

This paper examines whether deviations from PPP are stationary in the presence of nonlinearity, and whether the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005769039

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