In this paper, we evaluate an alternative approach for bankruptcy prediction that measures the financial healthiness of firms that have coupon-paying debts. The approach is based on the framework of Leland and Toft (1996), which is an extension of a widely-used model; the Black-Scholes-Merton...

In this paper, we estimate coefficients of bankruptcy forecasting models, such as logistic and neural network models, by maximizing their discriminatory power as measured by the Area Under Receiver Operating Characteristics (AUROC) curve. A method is introduced and compared with traditional...

We use the 2008 crisis as an exogenous shock to the annual pension funding ratios of U.S. corporate defined benefit (DB) pension plans to examine the causal impact on the assumption of expected return on pension assets (EROA). Contrary to prior literature, we find that DB pension plans...

Rating agencies consult with local government officials several days prior to official announcements of sovereign debt rating changes, making information leakage likely. Using cross-country data from 1988 to 2012, we find evidence of information leakage. In particular, we find statistically and...

We use the 2008 crisis as an exogenous shock to the pension funding status of U.S. corporate defined benefit (DB) pension plans to examine the causal impact on the assumption of the expected return on pension assets (ER). Contrary to prior literature, we find that DB pension plans transitioning...