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The no arbitrage relation between futures and spot prices implies an analogous relation between futures and spot volatilities as measured by daily range. Long memory features of the range-based volatility estimators of the two series are analyzed, and their joint dynamics are modeled via a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013152222
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003863181
Time series of counts are often characterized by high overdispersion and persistence. These extreme features challenge the existing models. We approach this problem by combining the framework of INAR with a latent Markov structure. We call it HMM-INAR since it belongs to the class of hidden...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012827205
We analyze the properties of the indirect inference estimator when the observed series are contaminated by measurement error. We show that the indirect inference estimates are asymptotically biased when the nuisance parameters of the measurement error distribution are neglected in the indirect...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011106767
The realized volatility of financial returns is characterized by persistence and occurrence of unpredictable large increments. To capture those features, we introduce the Multiplicative Error Model with jumps (MEM-J). When a jump component is included in the multiplicative specification, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011123413
The volatility of financial returns is characterized by rapid and large increments. We propose an extension of the Heterogeneous Autoregressive model to incorporate jumps into the dynamics of the ex-post volatility measures. Using the realized-range measures of 36 NYSE stocks, we show that there...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010889883
The realized volatility of financial returns is characterized by persistence and occurrence of unpredictable large increments. To capture those features, we introduce the Multiplicative Error Model with jumps (MEM-J). When a jump component is included in the multiplicative specification, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010892069
A stylized fact is that realized variance has long memory. We show that, when the instantaneous volatility is a long memory process of order <italic>d</italic>, the integrated variance is characterized by the same long-range dependence. We prove that the spectral density of realized variance is given by the sum...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010975470
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011006075
The no arbitrage relation between futures and spot prices implies an analogous relation between futures and spot volatilities as measured by daily range. Long memory features of the range-based volatility estimators of the two series are analyzed, and their joint dynamics are modeled via a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005037433