Case-based preference elicitation methods for multiple criteria sorting problems have the advantage of posing rather small cognitive demands on a decision maker, but they may lead to ambiguous results when preference parameters are not uniquely determined. We use a simulation approach to...

Screening is a process of multiple-criteria decision aid (MCDA) in which a large set of alternatives is reduced to a smaller set that most likely contains the best choice. We propose screening using a distance model calibrated on the basis of the decision-maker's own judgement. Viewing MCDA as...

A new conflict analysis technique is employed to analyze the international crisis that was created when Egypt nationalized the Suez Canal in 1956. The Suez Crisis involved the use of strategic surprise by the Egyptians and it is clearly demonstrated how this type of situation can be readily...