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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008519858
We develop a simple model of a speculative housing market in which the demand for houses is influenced by expectations about future housing prices. Guided by empirical evidence, agents rely on extrapolative and regressive forecasting rules to form their expectations. The relative importance of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008534174
By taking into account conditional expectations and the dependence of the systematic risk of asset returns on micro- and macro-economic factors, the conditional CAPM with time-varying betas displays superiority in explaining the cross-section of returns and anomalies in a number of empirical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008492100
We develop a discrete-time model in which the stock markets of two countries are linked via and with the foreign exchange market. The foreign exchange market is characterized by nonlinear interactions between technical and fundamental traders. Such interactions may generate complex dynamics and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008551049
We introduce heterogeneous beliefs in to the mean-variance framework of the standard CAPM, in contrast to the standard approach which assumes homogeneous beliefs. By assuming that agents form optimal portfolios based upon their heterogeneous beliefs about conditional means and covariances of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008466507
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005127300
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The aim of this paper is to show, within the mean-variance framework, how the market belief can be constructed as the result of the aggregation of heterogeneous beliefs and how the market equilibrium prices of risky assets can thus be determined. The heterogeneous beliefs are defined in terms of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005132596
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005136118
A discrete time model of a financial market is developed, in which heterogeneous interacting groups of agents allocate their wealth between two risky assets and a riskless asset. In each period each group formulates its demand for the risky assets and the risk-free asset according to myopic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005495374