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A large literature suggests that the expected equity risk premium is countercyclical. Using a variety of different measures for this risk premium, we document that it also exhibits growth asymmetry, i.e. the risk premium rises sharply in recessions and declines much more gradually during the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012179758
This paper provides evidence on the degree of persistence of one of the key components of the CAPM, namely the market risk premium, as well as its volatility. The analysis applies fractional integration methods to data for the US, Germany and Japan, and for robustness purposes considers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012207976
The use of futures exchange contracts instead of forwards completes the maturity spectrum of the correlation between the spot yield and the premium. We find that the forward premium puzzle (FFP) depends significantly on the maturity horizon of the futures contract and the choice of sampling...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012226735
In the work, the subject of the discount rate assessment is presented. It is crucial as regards assessing the non-financial investment profitability. The discount rate is usually considered as constant one in the whole investment period, which seems to be the main problem. The constant discount...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012232299
The large inflow of less-educated immigrants that the United States has received in recent decades can worsen or improve U.S. natives' labor market opportunities. Although there is a general consensus that low-skilled immigrants tend to hold "worse" jobs than U.S. natives, the impact of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012322462
This study tests possible sources of long-term risk-adjusted returns on initial public offerings (IPO) in Poland under the calendar-time portfolio (CTP) approach. The moment of going public still remains a puzzle in many areas. Poland's status as an emerging market has been indisputable for many...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013200194
In this paper, which is the third installment of the author's trilogy on margin loan pricing, we analyze 1367 monthly observations of the U.S. broker call money rate, e.g., the interest rate at which stockbrokers can borrow to fund their margin loans to retail clients. We describe the basic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013200234
The presence of risk premium is an issue that weakens the rational expectation hypothesis. This paper investigates changing behavior of time varying risk premium for holding 10 year maturity bond using a bivariate VARMA-DBEKK-AGARCH-M model. The model allows for asymmetric risk premia, causality...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013200329
It is generally said that out-of-the-money call options are expensive and one can ask the question from which moneyness level this is the case. Expensive actually means that the price one pays for the option is more than the discounted average payoff one receives. If so, the option bears a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013200859
Motivated by recent US evidence, we evaluate the predictive power of changes in the weight of large firms in the aggregate stock market ("Goliath vs David" (GVD)) for Swiss stock market returns and bond market returns. Previous research suggests that the asset return dynamics in the US and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013205783