Using a Markov-switching regime change model applied to Finnish money market interest spreads we find that unobserved changes from tightening to loosening monetary policy are important when examining the explanatory power of interest rates on future inflation changes. The unobserved regime...

The risk premium contained in the interest rates on three-month interbank deposits at large, internationally active banks increased sharply in August 2007 and risk premiahave remained at an elevated level since. This feature aims to identify the drivers of this increase, in particular the role...