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We develop and test a model in which swap spreads are determined by end users’ demand for and constrained … intermediaries’ supply of long-term interest rate swaps. Swap spreads reflect compensation both for using scarce intermediary capital … Financial Crisis when swap spreads turned negative and that this variable predicts the excess returns on swap spread trades …
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In this paper we model the volatility of the spread between the overnight interest rate and the central bank policy rate (the policy spread) for the euro area and the UK during the two main phases of the financial crisis that began in late 2007. During the crisis, the policy spread exhibited...
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