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). The variables that we predict are output growth and inflation, two representative variables from our set of indicators … find that the macroeconomic indicators (not including spreads) perform best when forecasting inflation in non-volatile time … ; factor ; federal reserve bank ; forecast ; macroeconometrics ; monetary policy ; parameter estimation error ; proxy …
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We contribute to the growing empirical literature on monetary and fiscal interactions by applying a sign restriction identification scheme to a structural TVP-VAR in order to disentangle and evaluate the policy shocks and policy transmissions. This in turn allows us to study the Great Recession...
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degree of pass-through and cost channel of monetary policy has also been examined. The minimum distance estimation of the …
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policy rules: we model inflation to be stationary, with the output gap pinning down deviations of inflation from its …
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