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Baumeister, Christiane - 2021

Asset prices are a valuable source of information about financial market participants.expectations about key macroeconomic variables. However, the presence of time-varying risk premia requires an adjustment of market prices to obtain the market’s rational assessment of future price and policy...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012622575

Firm Characteristics and Expected Stock Returns

Han, Yufeng - 2020

We analyze the joint out-of-sample predictive ability of a comprehensive set of 299 firm characteristics for cross-sectional stock returns. We develop a cross-sectional out-of-sample R2 statistic that provides an informative measure of the accuracy of cross-sectional return forecasts in terms of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012852228

Clustering-based sector investing

Bagnara, Matteo; Goodarzi, Milad - 2023

multiple operations, we employ a clustering approach on 69 firm characteristics and allocate companies to novel economic … to quantify feature importance for clustering methods, finding that size drives differences across classical industries … while book-to-market and financial liquidity variables matter for clustering-based sectors. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014318392

Empirical Asset Pricing via Machine Learning : The Global Edition

Cakici, Nusret; Zaremba, Adam - 2022

We examine the cross-section of international equity risk premia with machine learning methods. We identify, classify, and calculate 88 market characteristics and use them to forecast country returns with various machine learning techniques. While all algorithms produce substantial economic...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013306087

The Real Term Premium in a Stationary Economy with Segmented Asset Markets

Chien, YiLi - 2019

This paper proposes an equilibrium model to explain the positive and sizable term premia observed in the data. We introduce a slow mean-reverting process of consumption growth and a segmented asset market mechanism with heterogeneous trading technology to otherwise a standard heterogeneous agent...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012897692

The Real Term Premium in a Stationary Economy with Segmented Asset Markets

Chien, YiLi - 2019

This article proposes a general equilibrium model to explain the positive and sizable term premia implied by the data. The authors introduce a slow mean-reverting process of consumption growth and a segmented asset-market mechanism with heterogeneous trading technologies into an otherwise...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012858651

Automated machine learning and asset pricing

Healy, Jerome V.; Gregoriou, Andros; Hudson, Robert - In: Risks : open access journal 12 (2024) 9, pp. 1-12

We evaluate whether machine learning methods can better model excess portfolio returns compared to the standard regression-based strategies generally used in the finance and econometric literature. We examine 17 benchmark factor model specifications based on Expected Utility Theory and theory...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015066381

Behavioral Finance - Asset Prices Predictability, Equity Premium Puzzle, Volatility Puzzle : The Rational Finance Approach

Rachev, Svetlozar T. - 2020

In this paper we address three main objections of behavioral finance to the theory of rational finance, considered as “anomalies” the theory of rational finance cannot explain: (i) Predictability of asset returns; (ii) The Equity Premium; (iii) The Volatility Puzzle. We offer resolutions of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842392

Arbitrage crashes, financial accelerator, and sudden market freezes

Zhang, Ally Quan - 2017 - Last update: November 18, 2017, preliminary draft

We investigate the channel through which fluctuations in the market liquidity of real-sector repo collateral cause arbitrage crashes and failure of systemically important intermediaries during the global financial crisis. Intermediaries pledge productive capital as repo collateral to fund the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011875637

Risk & returns around FOMC press conferences : a novel perspective from computer vision

Marchal, Alexis - 2021

I propose a new tool to characterize the resolution of uncertainty around FOMC press conferences. It relies on the construction of a measure capturing the level of discussion complexity between the Fed Chair and reporters during the Q&A sessions. I show that complex discussions are associated...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012487767

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