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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011499728
This paper investigates the role of volatility risk on stock return predictability specified on two global financial … volatility forecasting measures on future stock returns in four different periods (bear and bull markets). First we find clear … and robust empirical evidence that the implied idiosyncratic volatility is the best stock return predictor for every sub …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012999962
The risk premium of stocks due to priced variance risk is summarized to two variables -- the stock-specific price of variance risk (the difference between realized and option-implied variance) and the quantity (i.e., how stock prices respond to their variance shocks) of variance risk....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012855216
This study supplies new evidence regarding the predictive power of jumps for conditional market returns and volatilities. We change the constant jump intensity as in the Liu et al. and Du models with time-varying intensity following an autoregressive conditional jump intensity process and a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013048950
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I generalize the long-run risks (LRR) model of Bansal and Yaron (2004) by incorporating recursive smooth ambiguity aversion preferences from Klibanoff et al. (2005, 2009) and time-varying ambiguity. Relative to the Bansal-Yaron model, the generalized LRR model is as tractable but more flexible...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012617667
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013257698
Theory suggests a relationship between both volatility of volatility, variance risk premium, and the equity risk … premium. We empirically investigate the relationship between volatility of volatility and the equity risk premium, and the … relationship between the variance risk premium and the equity risk premium. We find that volatility of volatility alone explains 5 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013035199
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