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We introduce a dynamic Skellam model that measures stochastic volatility from high-frequency tick-by-tick discrete … series per day varies from 1000 to 10,000. Complexities in the intraday dynamics of volatility and in the frequency of trades … intraday volatility shows that the dynamic modified Skellam model provides accurate forecasts compared to alternative modeling …
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In the class of univariate conditional volatility models, the three most popular are the generalized autoregressive … effects on conditional volatility of positive and negative effects of equal magnitude, and possibly also leverage, which is … the negative correlation between returns shocks and subsequent shocks to volatility (see Black 1979). McAleer (2014 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011688332
forecasting the volatility of equity prices, using high-frequency data from 2000 to 2016. We consider the SPY and 20 stocks that …, 60 and 300 seconds), forecast horizons (1, 5, 22 and 66 days) and the use of standard and robust-to-noise volatility and …-time forecasts than the HAR-RV model, although no single extended model dominates. In general, standard volatility measures at the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012030057
This paper develops a method to select the threshold in threshold-based jump detection methods. The method is motivated by an analysis of threshold-based jump detection methods in the context of jump-diffusion models. We show that over the range of sampling frequencies a researcher is most...
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asset price volatility. We show how the squared low-frequency returns can be expressed in terms of the temporal aggregation … properties of the spectral density function of realized volatility series, constructed from squared returns with different … new features of volatility in financial market indices. The theoretical findings are illustrated via the analysis of both …
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