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What point of a distribution summarises point predictions?
Kröger, Sabine; Pierrot, Thibaud - 2019
of an iid random variable. We set up a laboratory experiment where the participants act as forecasters predicting the … their central tendencies. As is standard in survey measures, the subjects in our experiment must report their best guess of … the experiment are based on a percentile while almost 60% are based on a numerical value. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012115998
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Comparison of different question formats eliciting point predictions
Kröger, Sabine; Pierrot, Thibaud - 2019
laboratory experiment in which the participants act as forecasters and are asked to predict the next realisation of iid random …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012115999
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What point of a distribution summarises point predictions?
Kröger, Sabine; Pierrot, Thibaud - 2019
of an iid random variable. We set up a laboratory experiment where the participants act as forecasters predicting the … their central tendencies. As is standard in survey measures, the subjects in our experiment must report their best guess of … the experiment are based on a percentile while almost 60% are based on a numerical value. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012119505
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Technology adoption in critical mass games : theory and experimental evidence
Keser, Claudia; Suleymanova, Irina; Wey, Christian - 2009
We analyze the choices between two technologies A and B that both exhibit network effects. We introduce a critical mass game in which coordination on either one of the standards constitutes a Nash equilibrium outcome while coordination on standard B is assumed to be payoff-dominant. We present a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003915870
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Beliefs and actions in the trust game : creating instrumental variables to estimate the causal effect
Costa-Gomes, Miguel A.; Huck, Steffen; Weizsäcker, Georg - 2010
In many economic contexts, an elusive variable of interest is the agent's expectation about relevant events, e.g. about other agents' behavior. Recent experimental studies as well as surveys have asked participants to state their beliefs explicitly, but little is known about the causal relation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003930945
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Beliefs and actions in the trust game : creating instrumental variables to estimate the causal effect
Costa-Gomes, Miguel A.; Huck, Steffen; Weizsäcker, Georg - 2010
In many economic contexts, an elusive variable of interest is the agent's expectation about relevant events, e.g. about other agents' behavior. Recent experimental studies as well as surveys have asked participants to state their beliefs explicitly, but little is known about the causal relation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003935173
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"I'll do it by myself as I knew it all along" : on the failure of hindsight-biased principals to delegate optimally
Danz, David; Hüber, Frank; Kübler, Dorothea; … - 2013
prediction is tested experimentally. In an online experiment that was conducted during the FIFA World Cup 2010 participants were …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009724690
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I'll do it by myself as I knew it all along' : on the failure of hindsight-biased principals to delegate optimally
Danz, David; Hüber, Frank; Kübler, Dorothea; … - 2013
prediction is tested experimentally. In an online experiment that was conducted during the FIFA World Cup 2010 participants were …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009693418
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Beliefs and actions in the trust game : creating instrumental variables to estimate the causal effect
Costa-Gomes, Miguel A.; Huck, Steffen; Weizsäcker, Georg - 2012
In many economic contexts, an elusive variable of interest is the agent's belief about relevant events, e.g. about other agents' behavior. A growing number of surveys and experiments ask participants to state beliefs explicitly but little is known about the causal relation between beliefs and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009583740
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Measuring strategic uncertainty in coordination games
Heinemann, Frank; Nagel, Rosemarie; Ockenfels, Peter - 2004
subjective beliefs of players. In a laboratory experiment we measure subjects? certainty equivalents for three coordination games …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010261109