We study biased survival expectations across two domains and examine whether such biased expectations influence health … European countries for more than a decade, we estimate time-varying individual level bias in 'survival expectations' (BSE) at … the individual level and compare it biased 'meteorological expectations' (BME). We exploit variation in an individual …

We study biased survival expectations across two domains and examine whether such biased expectations influence health … European countries for more than a decade, we estimate time-varying individual level bias in ‘survival expectations' (BSE) at … the individual level and compare it biased ‘meteorological expectations' (BME). We exploit variation in an individual …

According to economic theory, subjective longevity expectations should shape individual decision making regarding … consumption and savings. A common way of eliciting longevity expectations is to ask for the subjective probability of survival to …-of-sample predictions. We also show that the elicited survival distributions are decent predictors of actual mortality and propose a new …

When analyzing subjective expectations, researchers commonly apply (non-)parametric approximations to point identify … beliefs. We propose a new take on this type of data that does not impose a functional form on expectations. Using the widely … researched example of subjective survival expectations, we construct bounds for subjective survival curves. These bounds allow us …

individuals' subjective believes of their mortality risk. Previous studies have shown that individual responses on subjective …

individuals' subjective believes of their mortality risk. Previous studies have shown that individual responses on subjective …