Diewert’s (1976) “superlative” index numbers, defined to be exact for second order aggregator functions, unify index number theory with aggregation theory, but have been difficult to identify. We present a new approach to finding elements of this class. This new approach, related to that...

Although there have been many evaluations of the Fed Greenbook forecasts, we analyze them in a different dimension. We examine the revisions of these forecasts in the context of fixed event predictions to determine how new information is incorporated in the forecasting process. This analysis...

This paper compares the output gap estimates for Mongolia based on a number of different methods. Special attention is paid to the substantial role of mining in the Mongolian economy. We find that a Blanchard and Quah-type joint model of output and inflation provides a more robust estimate of...