Time series regressions indicate that age structure has significant forecasting power on Swedish inflation. The results agree with a Phillips-Okun framework, assuming that the demographic composition affects productivity. The relative age effects are also relatively well in accordance with what...

Process benefit scores indicates that time with own children is preferred before all other activities, closely followed by market work. The trade-off between parents' time with their own kids and market work, and its dependence on out-of-home day-care is analyzed in a simultaneous equation...

We construct a model of a financially constrained firm making pricing and investment decisions. The firm operates in a market where customers respond slowly to price changes and there are implementation lags in investment (time to build). Our model implies that the markup over marginal cost is...

Ziel des Beitrags ist eine empirische Analyse der Bedeutung möglicher Determinanten des Überlebens von Neugründungen in der badenwürttembergischen Industrie in der Zeit von 1981 bis 1994. Für die Studie wurden erstmals Daten der amtlichen baden-württembergischen Industriestatistik auf der...

The paper uses micro cross-section data from the GfK consumer panel for econometric demand analysis of private households in Germany. Contrary to most research which considered \average behavior we extend this approach to consumer behavior for di®erent \intensities of consumption. Our...

This paper studies the business cycle in Germany using the HP-filter (Hodrick/Prescott (1997)) to isolate the cyclical component. A two-country International Business Cycle model in line with Baxter/Crucini (1995) is built to explain these facts. The combination of GHH-preferences with taste...

In the paper we test for the different reactions of stock markets to the current financial crisis. We focus on Central European stock markets, namely the Czech, Polish and Hungarian ones, and compare them to the German and U.S. benchmark stock markets. Using wavelet analysis, we decompose a time...

The aim of this paper is to propose a methodology to estimate loss given default (LGD) and apply it to a set of micro-data of loans to SME and corporations of an anonymous commercial bank from Central Europe. LGD estimates are important inputs in the pricing of credit risk and the measurement of...

Using daily return data from the four major Central and Eastern European stock markets including fourteen highly liquid stocks and ATX (Vienna), PX (Prague), BUX (Budapest), and WIG20 (Warsaw) market indices, we model the value-at-risk using a set of univariate GARCH-type models. Our results...

This article presents the results of stress tests of the Czech banking sector conducted using models of credit risk and credit growth broken down by sector. The use of these models enables the stress tests to be linked to the CNB's official quarterly macroeconomic forecast. In addition, the...