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We introduce a discrete-time model for log-return dynamics with observable volatility and jumps. Our proposal extends the class of Realized Volatility heterogeneous auto-regressive gamma (HARG) processes adding a jump component with time-varying intensity. The model is able to reproduce the...
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Instabilities in the price dynamics of a large number of financial assets are a clear sign of systemic events. By investigating a set of 20 high cap stocks traded at the Italian Stock Exchange, we find that there is a large number of high frequency cojumps. We show that the dynamics of these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013087635
Based on the fact that realized measures of volatility are affected by measurement errors, we introduce a new family of discrete-time stochastic volatility models having two measurement equations relating both observed returns and realized measures to the latent conditional variance. A...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012903114
This note is commenting on Hasbrouck (2018). The paper investigates the problem of price discovery on markets with trades recorded at sub-millisecond frequencies. The application of the popular information share measure of Hasbrouck (1995) to such data faces several difficulties, as the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892778
We propose a methodology for filtering, smoothing and assessing parameter and filtering uncertainty in misspecified score-driven models. Our technique is based on a general representation of the well-known Kalman filter and smoother recursions for linear Gaussian models in terms of the score of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012899799
We derive an analytic relation between equity risk premium and the term structure of variance risk premium (VRP). Motivated by this result, we estimate the VRP term structure using a general and fully analytical discrete-time option pricing framework featuring multiple volatility components and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013004552
The analysis of the intraday dynamics of covariances among high-frequency returns is challenging due to asynchronous trading and market microstructure noise. Both effects lead to significant data reduction and may severely affect the estimation of the covariances if traditional methods for...
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