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We document that historical patterns of accruals seasonality predict future stock returns. Firms with historically … larger accruals in a given quarter of the year earn lower stock returns when those accruals are expected to be announced. The … accruals seasonality spread is significant only in the post-2001 period when there are increased accruals-based arbitrage …
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Earnings announcements present a clear risk to investors and, under rational asset pricing theory, such risk should be consistently priced in stocks. However, we find that stocks with high earnings announcement risk earn significantly higher returns only during months when firms have earnings or...
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