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Adaptive learning introduces persistence in the evolution of agents' beliefs over time. For applied purposes this is a convenient feature to help explain why economies present sluggish adjustments towards equilibrium. The pace of learning is directly determined by the gain parameter, which...
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We present a new estimation of business opening and closure rates using data from Google Places-the data set behind the Google Maps service. Our algorithm, through a bisection routine, counts the appearance and disappearance of "pins" that represent unique businesses. As a proof of concept, we...
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Using a unique dataset of 22.5 million news articles from the Dow Jones Newswires Archive, we perform an in depth real-time out-of-sample forecasting comparison study with one of the most widely used data sets in the newer forecasting literature, namely the FRED-MD dataset. Focusing on U.S. GDP,...
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