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The world, especially the business world, has changed from consisting of different countries and markets to one global market. This can be attributed to better transportation, communication and information systems. This new development has changed the rules of the business game. No more do...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009456044
Surveys of Professional Forecasters produce precise and timely point forecasts for key macroeconomic variables. However, the accompanying density forecasts are not as widely utilized, and there is no consensus about their quality. This is partly because such surveys are often conducted for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012523728
Se propone un nuevo indicador de sentimiento basado en noticias de periódicos que permite analizar, en tiempo real, la evolución de la actividad económica en España. A diferencia de los indicadores de confianza tradicionales que se publican a fin de mes, nuestro indicador puede construirse...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012525028
We propose a granular framework that makes use of advanced statistical methods to approximate developments in economy-wide expected corporate earnings. In particular, we evaluate the dynamic network structure of stock returns in the United States as a proxy for the transmission of shocks through...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012422156
Using a unique dataset of 22.5 million news articles from the Dow Jones Newswires Archive, we perform an in depth real-time out-of-sample forecasting comparison study with one of the most widely used data sets in the newer forecasting literature, namely the FRED-MD dataset. Focusing on U.S. GDP,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012425545
The Industry 4.0 era requires new quality management systems due to the ever increasing complexity of the global business environment and the advent of advanced digital technologies. This study presents new ideas for predictive quality management based on an extensive review of the literature on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012621475
Using a unique dataset of 22.5 million news articles from the Dow Jones Newswires Archive, we perform an in depth real-time out-of-sample forecasting comparison study with one of the most widely used data sets in the newer forecasting literature, namely the FRED-MD dataset. Focusing on U.S. GDP,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012661568
The penetration of distributed generation, energy storages and smart loads has resulted in the emergence of prosumers: entities capable of adjusting their electricity production and consumption in order to meet environmental goals and to participate profitably in the available electricity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014323785
We present a new estimation of business opening and closure rates using data from Google Places-the data set behind the Google Maps service. Our algorithm, through a bisection routine, counts the appearance and disappearance of "pins" that represent unique businesses. As a proof of concept, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014332384
Many things can go wrong on a journey. From minor disturbances like a track change to major problems like train cancellations, everything can happen. The broad availability of smartphones enables us to keep the traveler up-to-date with information relevant for the journey. This way, the traveler...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014504062