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This paper analyses the Nairu in the Euro Area and the influence that hysteresis had on its development. Using the … is applied here using explicit exogenous variables. In order to test for hysteresis, the dependence of the Nairu on … Kalman-filter technique we find that the Nairu has varied considerably since the early seventies. The Kalman-filter technique …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003744523
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011718780
Dieser Aufsatz untersucht die Hypothese, dass der Grad an Arbeitsmarkthysterese in Folge einer Rezession von der Reaktion der Geldpolitik abhängt. Der Hysteresegrad wird in der empirischen Untersuchung durch die geldpolitische Reaktion und Standardvariablen für Arbeitsmarktinstitutionen in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003772351
so that our identification is not affected by the Faust andLeeper (1997) critique. We find widespread hysteresis: demand …-teractions with structural shocks and other institutions as crucial determinantsof hysteresis. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011327831
for 29 countries from the OECD. We find strong evidence of hysteresis: an innovation in u causes u* to change in the same …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012705521
This paper investigates the hypothesis that the extent to which hysteresis occurs in the aftermath of recessions … depends on monetary policy reactions. The degree of hysteresis is explained econometrically by the extent of monetary easing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010460466
unemployment rate is independent of aggregate demand shocks. The hysteresis hypothesis, in contrast, states that the long run … unemployment rate can be affected by aggregate demand shocks. While policy makers have warned of the risk of hysteresis since the … 2008 financial crash, hysteresis effects are not incorporated into the macroeconometric models used by policy making …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012154146
This note gives a brief survey of main theoretical and empirical issues with respect to the NAIRU concept. According to … modern labour market literature NAIRU is defined as the rate of unemployment at which inflation stabilizes in the absence of … any wage-price surprises. Conventional thinking about the equilibrium unemployment rate assumes that in the long run NAIRU …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010291066
from the natural rate of unemployment framework in that it postulates a short-run NAIRU influenced by 'hysteresis'. It is …This paper assesses the Layard et al. (1991) NAIRU framework for explaining unemployment. Their approach is distinct … pointed out that this is not hysteresis in the meaning employed elsewhere, so an outline of what hysteresis actually implies …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010854864
This paper analyses the dynamics of the unemployment rate in the eight countries from Central and Eastern Europe which joined the EU in 2004. Unit root tests allowing for nonlinearities and structural changes suggest that the unemployment rate is not stationary in most of the sample countries....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010574230