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we critically discuss explanations based on the time-varying NAIRU and put against them explanations based on aggregate … demand and hysteresis. In the conclusion, some consequences for economic policy are indicated. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011133384
component; a cycle in growth rates, rather than in the levels; the hysteresis phenomenon; permanent- transitory decompositions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005062543
-filter technique to estimate the NAIRU. The authors find that potential output and potential output growth greatly depend on how the … NAIRU and potential total factor productivity are modelled. Given the difficulties involved in robustly estimating potential …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010460444
We estimate a multivariate unobserved components-stochastic volatility model to explain the dynamics of a panel of six exchange rates against the US Dollar. The empirical model is based on the assumption that both countries' monetary policy strategies may be well described by Taylor rules with a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011326550
We estimate a multivariate unobserved components stochastic volatility model to explain the dynamics of a panel of six exchange rates against the US Dollar. The empirical model is based on the assumption that both countries' monetary policy strategies may be well described by Taylor rules with a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012118184
-filter technique to estimate the NAIRU. The authors find that potential output and potential output growth greatly depend on how the … NAIRU and potential total factor productivity are modelled. Given the difficulties involved in robustly estimating potential …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005764566
This paper analyses the Nairu in the Euro Area and the influence that hysteresis had on its development. Using the … is applied here using explicit exogenous variables. In order to test for hysteresis, the dependence of the Nairu on … Kalman-filter technique we find that the Nairu has varied considerably since the early seventies. The Kalman-filter technique …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010460431
This paper analyses the Nairu in the Euro Area and the influence that hysteresis had on its development. Using the … is applied here using explicit exogenous variables. In order to test for hysteresis, the dependence of the Nairu on … Kalman-filter technique we find that the Nairu has varied considerably since the early seventies. The Kalman-filter technique …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005241856
This paper provides new estimates of a time?varying NAIRU for Germany taking account of the structural break caused by … inflation rates is employed. Therefore, either the NAIRU concept is not applicable to Germany or, as it is our suggestion, one … inflation target put forward by the European Central Bank. The estimates presented in this paper suggest that the NAIRU …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010297970
We estimate the quantitative importance of labour market institutions for equilibrium unemployment in OECD. The empirical equation for unemployment is based on the solution of a dynamic macroeconomic model where wages and prices are jointly determined with unemployment. Compared to existing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010330226