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This paper empirically examines the long-run pass through of the official exchange rates into trade balance in Nigeria by means of threshold cointegration and asymmetric error correction modeling. The study provides evidence for non-linear cointegration between our variables of interest. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011449671
We study the optimal foreign exchange (FX) intervention policy in response to a positive terms of trade shock and associated Dutch disease episode in a small open economy model. We find that during a Dutch disease episode tradable production drops below the socially optimal level, resulting in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012956374
Our objective in this paper is to identify the nature of the dependence or causal relationship that exists between US inflation and commodity prices using recent methods of linear cointegration, and non-linear Granger causality. The main contribution is the construction of a noisy chaotic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012776655
In the paper we propose a new methodological approach to core inflation estimation, based on a frequency domain principal components estimator, suited to estimate systems of fractionally cointegrated processes. The proposed core inflation measure is the scaled common persistent factor in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013319479
This paper examines the long-run relationship between goods prices and stock prices to understand whether stock market investment can help hedge against inflation in the United States (US) and Canada. This study employed an autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) cointegration test developed by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012886334
The purpose of this paper is to provide theoretical arguments and explore for empirical evidence for the rationale that low inflation persistence may be achieved either by setting up an independent Central Bank or by an exchange-rate based policy. Our theoretical analysis states that the degree...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004994328
This paper investigates evidence of a Fisher effect in Nigeria by employing quarterly CPI inflation and Nominal interest rates data. For a more robust result we conducted integration and cointegration tests in order to examine time-series properties of the variables. Using Co-integration and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011477662
Purpose: This paper aims to uncover the nexus between budget deficits, money growth and inflation in Vietnam in the period 1995-2012. Design/methodology/approach: The paper uses a structural vector auto-regressive model of five endogenous variables including inflation, real GDP growth, budget...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013543290
This paper evaluates the developments in the Turkish economy in light of the Central Bank's policies during a recent period of floating exchange rate system. It is found that the Central Bank was effective in containing volatility and reducing the average inflation rate while there was a strong...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014075611
This paper investigates the impacts of Naira real exchange rate misalignment on Nigeria's economic growth using quarterly data spanning the period 2000- 2014. We derive estimates of Real Exchange Rate Misalignment (RERMIS) by computing deviations of the actual real exchange rate from a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012840513