This paper documents GDPNow, a "nowcasting" model for gross domestic product (GDP) growth that synthesizes the "bridge …

-time and final data releases differ, we also observe minimal impacts on the relative forecasting performance of indicator …

forecasting power of these models for the Japanese economy. In this paper, we aim at assessing the relative performance of factor …. For most of the components, we report that factor models yield lower forecasting errors than a simple AR process or an … improvements in terms of forecasting accuracy are found for more volatile periods, such as the recent financial crisis. However …

encouraging. In a pseudo out-of-sample exercise, our approach beats relevant benchmarks for forecasting CPI inflation and an …

-on-quarter growth rates in Switzerland. It also assesses the informational content of macroeconomic data releases for forecasting of the … for GDP forecasting although their ranking depends on the underlying transformation of monthly indicators from which the …

forecasting the quarterly growth rate of Euro area GDP and its components, using a very large set of monthly indicators taken from … the corresponding approach which incorporates it, and MF-VAR seems to outperform the MIDAS approach only at longer …

for economic analysis and forecasting. This enormous volume of information, available in real time, can be handled by … inflows to Spain (the Spanish tourist industry's main customers). The improvement in the forecasting provided by the short …

-on-quarter growth rates in Switzerland. It also assesses the informational content of macroeconomic data releases for forecasting of the … for GDP forecasting although their ranking depends on the underlying transformation of monthly indicators from which the …

This study evaluates forecasting performance of a large-scale factor model developed in Siliverstovs and Kholodilin … (2012) in a genuine ex ante forecasting exercise. We perform our forecast of GDP growth in Switzerland in real time using …

product, which in turn are used as an input in the forecasting process. Such forecasts reflect and incorporate the flow of … in a synchronous way. The forecasting power of the dynamic factor model is compared with those of several other models …