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date (oldest first)
61
Nowcasting
GDP in Argentina: Comparing the predictive ability of different models
Blanco, Emilio
;
D'Amato, Laura
;
Dogliolo, Fiorella
; …
-
2017
conduct. Given that GDP figures are available with a significant delay central banks are increasingly using
Nowcasting
as a … useful tool for having an immediate perception of economic conditions. We develop a GDP growth
Nowcasting
exercise using a … compare their relative
forecasting
ability using the Giacomini and White (2004) test and find no significant difference in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012057262
Saved in:
62
A note on the predictive power of survey data in
nowcasting
euro area GDP
Kurz-Kim, Jeong-Ryeol
-
2018
This paper investigates the trade-off between timeliness and quality in
nowcasting
practices. This trade-off arises …. Our main finding from a historical
nowcasting
simulation based on euro area GDP is that the predictive power of the survey …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011848385
Saved in:
63
Business cycle dating and
forecasting
with real-time Swiss GDP data
Glocker, Christian
;
Wegmüller, Philipp
-
2017
proposed model demonstrates a remarkable performance in short-term and medium-term
forecasting
. Using real-time GDP data since …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011853245
Saved in:
64
Nowcasting
Indonesia
Luciani, Matteo
;
Pundit, Madhavi
;
Ramayandi, Arief
; …
-
2015
-real-time
forecasting
exercise we show that our model outperforms univariate benchmarks, and it does comparably with predictions of market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011432892
Saved in:
65
Nowcasting
real GDP growth: Comparison between old and new EU countries
Koécenda, Evézen
;
Poghosyan, Karen
-
2020
We analyze the performance of a broad range of
nowcasting
and short-term
forecasting
models for a representative set of … indicators that come from a comparable set of identical data. We show that
nowcasting
works well for the new EU countries because …
nowcasting
is on average somewhat larger. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012389263
Saved in:
66
Real-time
nowcasting
with sparse factor models
Hauber, Philipp
-
2022
Factor models feature prominently in the macroeconomic
nowcasting
literature, yet no clear consensus has emerged … data sets typically used in now- or
forecasting
applications are not sparse but dense. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013166086
Saved in:
67
Slow Expectation-Maximization Convergence in Low-Noise Dynamic Factor Models
Opschoor, Daan
;
van Dijk, Dick
-
2023
-noise dynamic factor models, commonly used in macroeconomic
forecasting
and
nowcasting
. We show analytically and in Monte Carlo … estimation accuracy. Modestly increasing the noise level also accelerates convergence. A
nowcasting
exercise of euro area GDP …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014321791
Saved in:
68
Sparse warcasting
Constantinescu, Mihnea
-
2023
expected nonlinear effect of military action challenge the use of established
nowcasting
and shortterm
forecasting
…
Forecasting
economic activity during an invasion is a nontrivial exercise. The lack of timely statistical data and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014476136
Saved in:
69
Nowcasting
Regional GDP: The Case of the Free State of Saxony
Henzel, Steffen
;
Lehmann, Robert
;
Wohlrabe, Klaus
-
2015
We tackle the
nowcasting
problem at the regional level using a large set of indicators (regional, national and …
forecasting
accuracy. Among the 10% best performing models for the short
forecasting
horizon, one fourth contain regional …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010531825
Saved in:
70
Forecasting
economic activity with mixed frequency Bayesian VARs
Brave, Scott A.
;
Butters, R. Andrew
;
Justiniano, Alejandro
-
2016
leverage a novel real-time dataset to conduct an out-of-sample
forecasting
exercise for U.S. real gross domestic product (GDP …). MF-BVARs are shown to provide an attractive alternative to surveys of professional forecasters for
forecasting
GDP growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011776834
Saved in:
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