Household debt in Norway has risen substantially over the past 15-20 years relative to both disposable income and bank deposits. An increase in interest rates will therefore reduce disposable income for Norwegian households more than previously. Changes in interest rates can have a direct impact...

Gjelden i norske husholdninger har økt betydelig de siste 15-20 årene både i forhold til utviklingen i disponible inntekter og i forhold til bankinnskudd. En renteøkning vil derfor redusere norske husholdningers disponible inntekter mer enn tidligere. Endringer i renten kan påvirke...

We present a macroprudential stress testing framework. While traditional stress testing assesses the level of banks' capital adequacy relative to regulatory requirements through a hypothetical crisis, macroprudential stress testing assesses macroeconomic consequences of the impact of banks'...

Vi presenterer et rammeverk for makrotilsynsstresstester. Mens tradisjonelle stresstester vurderer nivået på bankenes kapitaldekning opp mot regulatoriske krav gjennom en tenkt krise, handler makrotilsynsstresstester om å vurdere makroøkonomiske konsekvenser av bankenes tilpasning til...

This paper exploits a quarterly panel data set for 16 OECD countries over the period 1975q1–2013q2 to explore the importance of house prices and credit in affecting the likelihood of a financial crisis. Estimating a set of multivariate logit models, we find that booms in credit to both...