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type="main" xml:lang="en" <title type="main">Abstract</title> <p>Asymmetric information is an important phenomenon in insurance markets, but the empirical evidence on the extent of adverse selection and moral hazard is mixed. Because of its implications for pricing, contract design, and regulation, it is crucial to test for...</p>
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We consider estimation of policy relevant treatment effects in a data-rich environ ment where there may be many more control variables available than there are observations. In addition to allowing many control variables, the setting we consider allows heterogeneous treatment effects, endogenous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010368188
The goal of many empirical papers in economics is to provide an estimate of the causal or structural effect of a change in a treatment or policy variable, such as a government intervention or a price, on another economically interesting variable, such as unemployment or amount of a product...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010368191
In the first part of the paper, we consider estimation and inference on policy relevant treatment effects, such as local average and local quantile treatment effects, in a data-rich environment where there may be many more control variables available than there are observations. In addition to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010368202
We develop uniformly valid confidence regions for regression coefficients in a high-dimensional sparse least absolute deviation/median regression model. The setting is one where the number of regressors p could be large in comparison to the sample size n, but only s << n of them are needed to accurately describe the regression function. Our new methods are based on the instrumental median regression estimator that assembles the optimal estimating equation from the output of the post l1-penalized median regression and post l1-penalized least squares in an auxiliary equation. The estimating equation is immunized against non-regular estimation of nuisance part of the median regression function, in the sense of Neyman. We establish that in a homoscedastic regression model, the instrumental median regression estimator of a single regression coefficient is asymptotically root-n normal uniformly with respect to the underlying sparse model. The resulting confidence regions are valid uniformly with respect to the underlying model. We illustrate the value of uniformity with Monte-Carlo experiments which demonstrate that standard/naive post-selection inference breaks down over large parts of the parameter space, and the proposed method does not. We then generalize our method to the case where p1 > n regression coefficients...</<>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010368203
This work studies the large sample properties of the posteriorbased inference in the curved exponential family under increasing dimension. The curved structure arises from the imposition of various restrictions on the model, such as moment restrictions, and plays a fundamental role in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010368205