Showing 91 - 100 of 108,181
In this paper, we fill a gap in the financial econometrics literature, by developing a “jump test” for the null hypothesis that the probability of a jump is zero. The test is based on realized third moments, and uses observations over an increasing time span. The test offers an alternative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012952731
Prediction of volatility is to a larger extent anchored on the properties of a volatility time series i.e. mean …-reversion or random-walk. The consistency of mean-reversion or random-walk on the ZSE stock price and return volatility remain … unexplored. This study therefore attempts to investigate the behavior of ZSE stock price and return volatility using the class of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012959289
It is a well-established fact that testing a null hypothesis on the boundary of the parameter space, with an unknown number of nuisance parameters at the boundary, is infeasible in practice in the sense that limiting distributions of standard test statistics are non-pivotal. In particular,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012908158
This article questions the empirical usefulness of leverage effects to describe the dynamics of equity returns. Relying on both in and out of sample tests we consistently find a weak contribution of leverage effects over the past 25 years of S&P 500 returns. The skewness in the conditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012971911
We analyze the impact of the estimation frequency - updating parameter estimates on a daily, weekly, monthly or quarterly basis - for commonly used GARCH models in a large-scale study, using more than twelve years (2000-2012) of daily returns for constituents of the S&P 500 index. We assess the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012857089
This paper is devoted to testing for the explosive bubble under time-varying non-stationary volatility. Because the … upsurge behavior of cryptocurrency time series in the middle of the sample is partially explained by the volatility change …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013244838
We study the VIX Index, often referred to as “the investor's fear gauge,” relative to the observed volatility of the S …&P 500 Index, the VIX is considered as a forecasting indicator of the S&P 500 Index's volatility over a one-month period. We … examine the daily VIX and S&P 500 Index volatility data for the 20-year period between 1990 and 2009 and find that VIX lags …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013063232
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010191413
We propose bootstrap implementations of the asymptotic Wald, likelihood ratio and Lagrange multiplier tests for the order of integration of a fractionally integrated time series. Our main purpose in doing so is to develop tests which are robust to both conditional and unconditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009743847
The focus of the volatility literature on forecasting and the predominance of the conceptually simpler HAR model over … long memory stochastic volatility models has led to the fact that the actual degree of memory estimates has rarely been … realized volatility and the potential of spurious long memory. In this paper we provide a comprehensive analysis of the memory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011715842