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The focus of the volatility literature on forecasting and the predominance of the conceptually simpler HAR model over … long memory stochastic volatility models has led to the fact that the actual degree of memory estimates has rarely been … realized volatility and the potential of spurious long memory. In this paper we provide a comprehensive analysis of the memory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011715842
It is well known that intraday volatilities and trading volumes exhibit strong seasonal features. These seasonalities are usually modeled using dummy variables or deterministic functions. Here, we propose a test for seasonal long memory with a known frequency. Using this test, we show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011673153
This paper examines quantile dependence and directional predictability between the foreign exchange market and the stock market in Korea. Instead of adopting a multivariate model such as a vector autoregressive model, a multivariate GARCH model or a combination of both models, we apply the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011765039
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012913510
possible to generate a volatility-return trade-off in a regression model simply by introducing dynamics in the standardized … disturbance process. Importantly, the volatility in the GARCH-AR model enters the return function in terms of relative volatility …, implying that the risk term can be stationary even if the volatility process is nonstationary. We provide a complete …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014199817
We propose using the price range, a recently-neglected volatility proxy with a long histoy in finance, in the … estimation of stochastic volatility models. We show both theoretically and empirically that the log range is approximately … Gaussian, in sharp contrast to popular volatility proxies, such as log absolute or squared returns. Hence Gaussian quasi …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014154661
nonstationary volatility. In the same article, Xu proposed a set of t-tests for the regression coefficients and claimed that these … only under the exact knowledge of the asymptotic order of the nonstationary volatility. In this paper it is first shown … obtained, that do not depend either on the asymptotic order of the nonstationary volatility, or on the degree of the polynomial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013112126
predict the sector-level S&P500 exchange-traded fund (ETF) volatility. It was found that the predictive content of co-jumps is … volatility forecasting. Additionally, we carried out Monte Carlo experiments designed to examine the relative performances of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013403992
In this paper, we consider the forecast evaluation of realized volatility measures under cross-section dependence using …-section when forecasting Realized Volatility. Under the null hypothesis of equal predictive accuracy the benchmark model employed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013306884
This paper deals with the economics of Bitcoins in two ways. First, it broadens the discussion on how to capture Bitcoins using economic terms. Center stage in this analysis take the discussion of some unique characteristics of this market as well as the comparison of Bitcoins and gold. Second,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013030485