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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011478251
Can nominal exchange rates be characterized by deterministic chaos? To answer this question, a statistical framework utilizing a blockwise bootstrap procedure is used to test for the presence of a positive Lyapunov exponent in an observed stochastic time series (Bask and Gencay, 1998). Daily...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005207281
This thesis consists of four papers. The first three deal with deterministic chaos in exchange rate series whereas the fourth deals with technical analysis in the foreign exchange market. Paper [i] (
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005651992
We propose a nonparametric estimation and inference for conditional density based Granger causality measures that quantify linear and nonlinear Granger causalities. We first show how to write the causality measures in terms of copula densities. Thereafter, we suggest consistent estimators for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010776917
In this paper, we challenge the traditional assumption of a linear relationship between exchange rate volatility and … volatility positively and significantly influences economic growth when growth in government spending is below 6 percent. Above … this 6 percent threshold, volatility exerts an insignificant effect on economic growth. In light of the adoption of a free …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011870188
asset markets. Duration is affected by the presence of news particularly in the hour following the release of scheduled news …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010905847
We study the daily response of T-Bond yields to the news in a large set of macroeconomic releases over the sample … news consisting of the soft data, which have very short publication lags, and the most timely hard data, with the … that parameter instability in terms of absolute and relative size of yields response to news, as well as significance, is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008876666
States, Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania. Paper [I] studies the impact of news from the Moscow and New York stock exchanges on … asymmetries in the conditional mean and variance functions. We find that news from New York has stronger effects on returns in … Tallinn. High-risk shocks in New York have a stronger impact on volatility in Tallinn, whereas volatility in Vilnius is more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008800752
The study examines whether the long-run validity of PPP holds in some major advanced and developing economies. The study employed the smooth time-varying cointegration (TVC) and time-varying detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA) methodology, and we are not aware of any study that has applied TVC...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014500904
This paper proposes a bootstrap artificial neural network based panel unit root test in a dynamic heterogeneous panel context. An application to a panel of bilateral real exchange rate series with the US Dollar from the 20 major OECD countries is provided to investigate the Purchase Power Parity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008478964