Presentation to the Risk Management Association, Memphis - Jan. 18, 2001

Presentation to the St. Louis Forum, St. Louis, Feb. 24, 2006

Presentation at Bradley University, Peoria, Ill. - Sept. 5, 2001

Address and panel discussion before the Cato Institute Book Forum Celebrating the 40th Anniversary of the Publication of A Monetary History of the United States, 1867-1960 (Princeton University Press, 1963) by Milton Friedman and Anna J. Schwartz, Cato Institute, Washington, D.C., Nov. 21, 2003

Delivered at the Commerce Bank Economic Breakfast, November 18, 2009

Presentation to the Western Economic Association International Conference (WEAI), San Francisco, July 6, 2005

The Jeffrey and Kathryn Cole Honors College Lecture, Michigan State University, East Lansing, Mich. - March 16, 1999

The Bank of Korea International Conference on Monetary Policy in an Environment of Low Inflation, Seoul, Korea, June 16, 2006

The econometrics literature contains a variety of two-sided tests for unknown breakpoints in time-series models with one or more parameters. This paper derives an analogous one-sided test that takes into account the direction of the change for a single parameter. In particular, we propose a sup...