Thomson, Mary; Pollock, Andrew; Henriksen, Karen; … - In: The European Journal of Finance 10 (2004) 4, pp. 290-307
models over three time horizons on a task involving probabilistic forecasts of exchange rate movements. Probability-judgement … between the groups on various important components of judgement suggested that the groups obtained their similar overall …-order autoregressive models. Composite human judgement, however, not only improved on individual judgement but, also, surpassed the simple …